The stakes are high in this thrilling encounter.
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Real Madrid and Manchester City are set for a thrilling second-leg clash at the Santiago Bernabeu, with Los Blancos holding a narrow 3-2 advantage from the first leg.
Despite twice falling behind at the Etihad, Real Madrid’s resilience saw them secure a crucial away win, putting them in pole position to reach the last 16.
However, Man City—buoyed by a dominant 4-0 victory over Newcastle—aims to turn the tie around.
Both teams are among Europe’s elite and have a history of dramatic encounters in this competition.
Madrid’s ability to perform in high-stakes matches has been proven time and again, while City will be looking to avenge past heartbreaks at the hands of the Spanish giants.
First-Leg Recap
The first leg at the Etihad was a pulsating affair, with Real Madrid securing a crucial 3-2 victory.
Despite falling behind twice, Carlo Ancelotti’s men showed their trademark resilience to turn the game around.
Now, Madrid return to their fortress, knowing that a draw or even a narrow defeat (by a one-goal margin, barring a high-scoring 4-3 or 5-4) will be enough to progress.
Team News
Real Madrid team news
Lucas Vázquez is available but is unlikely to start, while David Alaba may not be risked from the beginning.
Jude Bellingham’s domestic suspension does not affect his Champions League eligibility, so he will be a key figure in midfield.
🔹 Possible Starting XI (4-3-3):
Courtois; Valverde, Rüdiger, Nacho, Mendy; Camavinga, Tchouaméni, Bellingham; Rodrygo, Vinícius Jr., Mbappé.
Manchester City Team News
Pep Guardiola could have Ruben Dias and Nathan Aké available after both were rested against Newcastle due to muscle tightness. Jack Grealish faces a late fitness test after a groin injury, while Manuel Akanji remains out.
Rodri (ACL) and Oscar Bobb (fitness) are also unavailable. Erling Haaland, on the brink of his 50th Champions League goal, will lead the line.
🔹 Possible Starting XI (4-2-3-1):
Ederson; Nunes, Dias, Aké, Gvardiol; Silva, Kovacic; Savinho, De Bruyne, Marmoush; Haaland
Tactical Breakdown & Key Battles
- Midfield Battle – Bellingham vs. De Bruyne
Jude Bellingham’s ability to drive forward and link up with Vinicius Jr. and Rodrygo will be crucial for Madrid.
Kevin De Bruyne remains City’s creative heartbeat and will look to dictate play.
- Vinícius Jr. & Mbappé vs. City’s High Line
Madrid’s wingers thrive on counterattacks, and City’s full-backs will need to avoid leaving too much space behind.
The battle between Vinícius and Joško Gvardiol could be decisive.
- Haaland vs. Madrid’s Defense
The Norwegian striker will be a constant threat, but with Rüdiger back, Madrid will be better equipped to handle him.
Prediction
Opta give Man City just 21% chance of turning the tie around 🆚 Real Madrid 🔢👀 pic.twitter.com/GzToU9nETv
— LiveScore (@livescore) February 18, 2025
This tie is finely balanced, but Real Madrid’s experience and home advantage could give them the edge. Expect an open game with plenty of attacking play.
Predicted Score: Real Madrid 2-2 Manchester City (Real Madrid advance 5-4 on aggregate)
Reasons for Prediction:
City will push for goals, leaving them vulnerable to Madrid’s counterattacks.
Haaland and De Bruyne could make the difference, but Madrid’s ability to handle pressure at the Bernabéu should see them through.